Showing posts with label Value Investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Value Investing. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Warren Buffett's Big Four - What he looks for in an Investment Opportunity




The Big Four – Principles in investing do not change.

         

                                                                        1975                2006

Market price per share                     $100                $109,000

Per share investments:                      $159                $80,636

            Pre-tax earnings per share:               $4                    $3,625


In 1977, Warren Buffett laid out his investment philosophy in his letter to the shareholders.


We select our marketable equity securities in much the same way we would evaluate a business for acquisition in its entirety.  We want the business to be (1) one that we can understand, (2) with favorable long-term prospects, (3) operated by honest and competent people, and (4) available at a very attractive price.  We ordinarily make no attempt to buy equities for anticipated favorable stock price behavior in the short term.  In fact, if their business experience continues to satisfy us, we welcome lower market prices of stocks we own as an opportunity to acquire even more of a good thing at a better price.


In 2007 on CNBC – The Billionaire next door.  Warren Buffett reiterated the big four.  30 years later the principles remain the same.


1.      Something he can understand.  Something in his “circle of competence”.


He doesn’t understand what Car Company, software or chemical company will win 10 years from now.  But he does understand that Snicker’s Bar will be the number one candy bar in the U.S. just as it has been for the last 40 years.


2.      Durable Competitive Advantage


A business that will dominate for what appears to be forever.


3.      An Honest and Able management.

4.      A price that he wants to pay.




Others interpretation of Buffett’s investment principles:


                  From:        The Warren Buffett Way by Robert G. Hagstrom


Business Tenets


1.      Is the business simple and understandable from your perspective as an investor?

2.      Does the business have a consistent operating history?

3.      Does the business have favorable long-term prospects?

Management Tenets


1.      Is management rational?

2.      Is management candid with its shareholders?

3.      Does management resist the institutional imperative?

Financial Tenets


1.      Focus on return on equity, not earnings per share.

2.      Calculate “Owner Earnings”.

3.      Search for companies with high profit margins.

4.      For every dollar of retained earnings, has the company created at least one dollar’s extra market value?

Value Tenets


1.      What is the value of the business?

2.      Can the business currently be purchased at a significant discount to its value?




                  From:        How to Build Wealth Like Warren Buffett by Robert P. Miles



There’s four areas of interest when Warren looks at a business on main street.


1.      Business

a.       Is it simple?

2.      Management

a.       Are they candid?

b.      What are their expansion plans?

c.       Are they fanatics?

3.      Financials

a.       Is it a high profit margin business?

b.      What is its return on equity?

4.      Market Price

a.       What is the business value and can it be purchased at a discount to intrinsic value?



         





Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Stocks Selling for Less Than Book Value on July 30, 2013

Out of more the 1500 U.S. Stocks looked at in the Value Line Investment Survey today, these are currently selling at below book value. They are sorted by Earnings Predictability (high to low) and Long-term Debt (low to high). This is a list for educational purposes only.


Company Ticker  Stock Price  Book Value per share 
Unum Group UNM  $             31.56  $                              31.92
Reinsurance Group RGA  $             67.90  $                              93.47
Ingram Micro 'A' IM  $             22.81  $                              24.02
Black Box BBOX  $             28.53  $                              29.89
ManTech Int'l 'A' MANT  $             29.10  $                              31.46
Protective Life PL  $             43.42  $                              59.07
Speedway Motorsports TRK  $             19.64  $                              20.71
First Niagara Finl Group FNFG  $             10.73  $                              12.98
Aircastle Ltd. AYR  $             17.78  $                              19.81
Lincoln Nat'l Corp. LNC  $             41.36  $                              55.17
Atlas Air Worldwide AAWW  $             44.79  $                              48.57
Rowan Cos. plc RDC  $             34.93  $                              36.48
MetLife Inc. MET  $             48.87  $                              57.12
Amedisys, Inc. AMED  $             11.50  $                              14.55
Invacare Corp. IVC  $             16.81  $                              19.47
Central Garden & Pet CENT  $                7.49  $                                9.88
Astoria Financial AF  $             12.58  $                              13.15
Hanover Insurance THG  $             54.00  $                              58.59
Assurant Inc. AIZ  $             52.70  $                              65.92
CNA Fin'l CNA  $             34.21  $                              45.71
Prudential Fin'l PRU  $             78.73  $                              83.31
Corinthian Colleges COCO  $                2.42  $                                6.63
Annaly Capital Mgmt. NLY  $             11.69  $                              15.85
Cross Country Health. CCRN  $                5.93  $                                6.77
Layne Christensen LAYN  $             20.12  $                              20.83
PharMerica Corp. PMC  $             14.79  $                              15.01
Susquehanna Bancshs. SUSQ  $             13.78  $                              13.90
Kemper Corp. KMPR  $             35.46  $                              36.98
Wintrust Financial WTFC  $             41.19  $                              44.18
Telephone & Data TDS  $             26.96  $                              37.16
Cliffs Natural Res. CLF  $             18.38  $                              32.51
Hutchinson Techn. HTCH  $                5.49  $                                7.02
Monster Worldwide MWW  $                5.91  $                                7.92
Amer. Greetings AM  $             19.07  $                              21.33
Ruby Tuesday RT  $                7.84  $                                9.00
U.S. Cellular USM  $             40.25  $                              45.24
Pantry (The), Inc. PTRY  $             12.34  $                              14.02
Pengrowth Energy PGH  $                5.80  $                                8.19
Peabody Energy BTU  $             16.40  $                              20.29
RealNetworks, Inc. RNWK  $                7.79  $                                9.70
UTStarcom Holdings UTSI  $                2.69  $                                4.53
Furniture Brands FBN  $                3.25  $                                6.81
Affymetrix Inc. AFFX  $                3.88  $                                3.90
Perry Ellis Int'l PERY  $             21.04  $                              24.22
First Commonwealth FCF  $                7.46  $                                7.49
Walter Energy WLT  $             10.94  $                              33.98
Arch Coal ACI  $                4.01  $                              16.78
NRG Energy NRG  $             27.53  $                              31.82
Career Education CECO  $                3.69  $                                9.12
Imation Corp. IMN  $                4.60  $                                9.33
Mercury Systems MRCY  $             10.39  $                              11.21
West Marine WMAR  $             11.42  $                              11.72
Tecumseh Products 'A' TECUA  $             11.17  $                              13.98
Photronics Inc. PLAB  $                8.29  $                                9.73
Schnitzer Steel SCHN  $             25.70  $                              41.04
RadioShack Corp. RSH  $                2.74  $                                6.01
Eagle Bulk Shipping EGLE  $                3.97  $                              35.71
SkyWest SKYW  $             15.36  $                              26.78
Genworth Fin'l GNW  $             13.37  $                              33.61
Avid Technology AVID  $                6.30  $                              10.80
Electro Scientific ESIO  $             12.01  $                              13.07
AngioDynamics ANGO  $             12.16  $                              15.09
EarthLink, Inc. ELNK  $                6.28  $                                7.00
Genco Shipping GNK  $                2.15  $                              24.09
NII Holdings NIHD  $                7.77  $                              13.50
Loews Corp. L  $             46.12  $                              49.25
Bank of America BAC  $             14.83  $                              20.24
Gladstone Capital GLAD  $                8.88  $                                8.97
Kelly Services 'A' KELYA  $             19.68  $                              19.92
Alpha Natural Res. ANR  $                5.37  $                              33.80
Regions Financial RF  $             10.18  $                              10.63
Alcoa Inc. AA  $                8.03  $                              12.32
Piper Jaffray Cos. PJC  $             33.13  $                              48.20
Phoenix (The) Cos. PNX  $             43.00  $                            193.67
OM Group OMG  $             31.75  $                              37.82
Amer. Capital, Ltd. ACAS  $             13.68  $                              17.49
Everest Re Group Ltd. RE  $           130.86  $                            131.78
Apollo Investment AINV  $                8.24  $                                8.55
Legg Mason LM  $             34.90  $                              40.59
E*Trade Fin'l ETFC  $             14.69  $                              17.14
Popular Inc. BPOP  $             32.96  $                              39.34
U.S. Steel Corp. X  $             18.77  $                              24.10
Hartford Fin'l Svcs. HIG  $             31.41  $                              50.51
SunTrust Banks STI  $             35.14  $                              37.59
Amer. Int'l Group AIG  $             46.50  $                              66.38
Capital One Fin'l COF  $             68.72  $                              69.56
Morgan Stanley MS  $             27.76  $                              30.70
Citigroup Inc. C  $             52.66  $                              61.28
Tellabs, Inc. TLAB  $                2.26  $                                4.51